You gotta realize if 2 out of every 100 voters split their ticket that is 4% of the vote

The question isn't if Biden will win or not, but rather can he reach 220 electoral votes? At this point it is trending towards Washington and New York even being in play, Biden realistically could not hit 200. The democrat party is fractured and discussing doing the most undemocratic thing and replace an already democratically elected democratic nominee with someone of their choosing due to fears he will lose due to his age. Biden was already not faring the best due to his poor handling of foreign affairs and the economy, and now between the debate performance and the assassination attempt it is looking very very bleak for Biden.