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 @ISIDEWITHNewsScienceGazaDaily Discussion2024ConservativeConflictTimeDeath Toll•••2yrs ago

Medical Science Journal Estimates 186K Killed In Gaza

The medical science journal, The Lancet, "conservatively" estimated the death toll in Gaza to be 186,000 people or more.

That's 8% of the population, obliterated.

The current death toll is only “accounted” bodies. This estimate includes unaccounted bodies.

In recent conflicts, such indirect deaths range from three to 15 times the number of direct deaths. Applying a conservative estimate of four indirect deaths per one direct death9 to the 37 396 deaths reported, it is not implausible to estimate that up to 186 000 or even more deaths could be attributable to the current conflict in Gaza. Using the 2022 Gaza Strip population estimate of 2 375 259, this would translate to 7·9% of the total population in the Gaza Strip.

A report from Feb 7, 2024, at the time when the direct death toll was 28 000, estimated that without a ceasefire there would be between 58 260 deaths (without an epidemic or escalation) and 85 750 deaths (if both occurred) by Aug 6, 2024.

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7 Replies

 @TroubledTaxationGreen from Pennsylvania  commented…2yrs2Y

1- Anyone still not doing the bare minimum of awareness is complicit.

2- Hamas doesn’t want to local population to freak out, so they’re not updating numbers.

3- I’ve said this for months now so don’t come at me telling me it’s fake. This confirms what I’ve thought.

 @Bl4ckBallotSwiftSocialistfrom New York  agreed…2yrs2Y

that's partly true -- but the fact is that there's no effective way to count confirmed dead bec all the hospitals are destroyed, deaths are not being systematically recorded.

 @AffectedRightistRepublican from Indiana  commented…2yrs2Y

I can’t believe this is real. Frankly I’m not sure it is

 @ZealousBitternGreenfrom New Jersey  commented…2yrs2Y

It's obvious the death toll coming from Gaza has been undercount. Still, this is shocking.

Now remember that in polls late last year fewer than 2% of Israeli Jews thought what the IDF was doing in Gaza was excessive.

The vast majority of them support this.

 @ISIDEWITHasked…2yrs2Y

If you were in charge, how would you address or prevent such extensive casualties in conflict zones?

 @ISIDEWITHasked…2yrs2Y

How does the possibility of such a high number of unaccounted deaths impact your trust in media reporting and governmental accounts of conflicts?

 @ISIDEWITHasked…2yrs2Y

Can we truly grasp the scale of human loss represented by these estimates, and what does that say about our concept of empathy?

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