The Haniyeh assassination is unlikely to drag Iran into a wider war.
Iranians leaders understand that Israel is achieving tactical wins in the midst of a strategic defeat.
Israel is making rash and escalatory moves because it is increasingly isolated, divided, and weak.
The spate of Israeli attacks and assassinations may be humiliating, but Iran has repeatedly calibrated its responses to these provocations, avoiding a wider war.
In the weeks after October 7, this was because of Iran's own reluctance to bear the costs of a larger conflict.
But now, Iranian leaders have come to understand that Netanyahu and other senior leaders in Israel are seeking a way out from the strategic defeat they face.
t's in Iran's interest to absorb tactical defeats while Israel faces a strategic defeat.
Israel has destroyed Gaza.
But as the world bears witness to a genocide, Israel is also tearing the fabric of its own society to shreds.
.Here are the top political news stories for today.
@HumorousFishSocialist2yrs2Y
This makes a lot of sense. You can't understand Israel's recent assassinations without the context that Israel has failed to defeat Hamas in Gaza and even Israeli security officials now admit they can't.
@WeaverRubyGreen2yrs2Y
The strategic failure is even bigger than Gaza. Israeli economy is fading, IDF discipline is fraying in several directions at once, international reputation all-time low, ICC warrants coming closer, unprecedented European arms embargos on the way... One can see why Sinwar
No one cares about Hamas anymore, which has in fact been defeated. The entire frame is now Hezbollah/Iran and the impending war. All of Israel's decisions are filtered through that strategic prism. You're still fighting the last war.
Unlike the assault on Gaza, targeted assassinations of those behind October 7 are morally justified. If you can't support killing people like Ismail Haniyeh, you're admitting you want Israel to do nothing.
@ThirdPartyTimDemocrat2yrs2Y
Every time Israel kills a Hamas leader a new one appears. This assassination strategy has not worked in the past and will not work now. Maybe time for a new way of thinking that involves less killing, more peace and recognition of Palestinian rights?
@ISIDEWITH2yrs2Y
@ISIDEWITH2yrs2Y
@ISIDEWITH2yrs2Y
@ISIDEWITH2yrs2Y
@ISIDEWITH2yrs2Y
Loading the political themes of users that engaged with this discussion
Loading data...
Join in on more popular conversations.
