@ISIDEWITHFrågorUtrikespolitik5 år sedan

Ska USA gå i krig med Iran?

I juni 2019 eskalerades spänningarna mellan USA och Iran efter att en amerikansk övervakningsdrona dödades av Irans revolutionära vakt i Omanholmen. USA hävdade att det var en "oroväckad attack" och dronen flyger i internationellt luftrum. 2 veckor tidigare skyllde Trump-administrationen Iran för attackerna på två oljetankfartyg som bombades i Oman-viken. Iran förnekade något engagemang. I början av juni tillkännagav Iran att det skulle bryta gränsen för uranlagerlager som fastställdes under kärnkraftsavtalet från 2015 Iran. Under affären fick Iran hålla högst 660 pounds uran berikad till 3,67%. Analytiker förutsäger att om uran berikas till 20% eller mer skulle Iran kunna utveckla kärnvapen.

14%
Ja
86%
Nej
7%
Ja
71%
Nej
6%
Ja, men bara om de utvecklar kärnvapen
15%
Nej, USA bör uppmuntra Iran att avväpna genom diplomatiska kanaler
1%
Ja, men bara med missilstrejker

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Aktiva 2hrs sedan

 @ISIDEWITH lämnats…2 timmar2H

Hizbollah slår till Israel med drönareattack

Lebanon's Iran-backed Hezbollah group said on Tuesday it had launched a drone attack against Israeli military bases north of the city of Acre, in its deepest strike into Israeli territory since the Gaza war began.The Israeli military said it had no knowledge of any of its facilities being hit by Hezbollah, but had said earlier on Tuesday that it intercepted two "aerial targets" off Israel's northern coast.The two sides have been engaging in regular exchanges of missile fire and airstrikes since the start of the war in Gaza last October, but have refrained from pushing the conflict into all-out war.As the strikes have continued, however, fears have grown that an accident or miscalculation on either side could see the conflict could escalate rapidly, possibly drawing in other regional and world powers including the United States.Hezbollah said it had acted in retaliation for an earlier Israeli attack killing one of its fighters. The group published what appeared to be a satellite photo, with the location of the strike symbolized by a flash with a red circle around it that sat halfway between Acre and Nahariyya to the north.In response, the Israeli military said fighter jets hit military targets in Ayta ash Shab and Blida and in the area of Markaba in southern Lebanon.

 @ISIDEWITH lämnats…11 timmar11H

Iran är svagare än vi tror

As for Iran’s military chiefs, their standard of success is so low that, in the immediate aftermath of the failed aerial offensive, Mohammad Bagheri, chief of staff of the Iranian armed forces, declared that Iran “has achieved all of its goals”. He then unwisely added a vainglorious threat: “If the Zionist regime or its supporters demonstrate reckless behaviour, they will receive a decisive and much stronger response.”Iran’s response was an all-out air offensive with hundreds of ballistic missiles, drones, and cruise missiles. But this very expensive attack failed most miserably, wounding just one Israeli, a seven-year-old Bedouin, and inflicting only trivial damage to the non-functional edge of a runway.The power of the Revolutionary Guards within the regime steadily increased because of the military strength it generated with its abundant, cheap and, above all, expendable molokh khor “lizard-eater” Arab manpower (Ever since the huge losses of the Iraq war, Iran has been very casualty-sensitive).But the Revolutionary Guards finally failed strategically because their Arab recruitment policy was so successful that it overshot the culminating point of success: seeing the historic Sunni capital of Damascus under Shia domination, and Baghdad the very seat of the Sunni Arab Caliphate ruled by Iran’s agents, Sunni Arab states from Morocco to Jordan and Saudi Arabia, which had repeatedly fought Israel from 1948, moved to abandon their hostility, openly or discreetly. And while the outbreak of the Israel-Hamas war on October 7 gained no goodwill for Israel or the Jews, Israel’s overall response proved that it has the strength to resist Iran’s imperial ambitions. When an Israeli air strike decapitated the Revolutionary Guard expeditionary high command gathered in Damascus on April 1, by killing its chief and his entire staff, not a word of criticism was heard in the Sunni Arab world.